Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Isaiah Davis

NYJ

RB115 · overall #381 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

49

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 116

Range

23–75

sd 26

Week

1.2

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
19
Carries
46
Receptions
14
Rec yards
111
Rush yards
216
Rush TD
1.1
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
1.4
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.2
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
-0.35
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.06

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

60.7

Per game

3.79

17-gm pace

64

Best / worst

15.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.8RB5721800000
21.1RB660003160
30.0RB760000000
43.7RB4939022180
54.8RB3815043280
60.6RB6422011-10
74.2RB41210042220
815.4RB14765055440
101.6RB5331001110
111.1RB6321101000
120.7RB574700000
130.0RB740001000
142.2RB5522200000
1513.0RB1795811170
168.0RB3438044520
172.5RB5431101190