Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Isaiah Davis

NYJ

RB115 · overall #381 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

49

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 116

Range

23–75

sd 26

Week

1.2

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
19
Carries
46
Receptions
14
Rec yards
111
Rush yards
216
Rush TD
1.1
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
1.4
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.2
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
-0.35
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.06

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

71.2

Per game

4.45

17-gm pace

76

Best / worst

17.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.8RB6221800000
21.6RB650003160
30.0RB760000000
44.7RB4939022180
56.3RB3415043280
61.1RB6322011-10
75.2RB40210042220
817.9RB10765055440
102.1RB5331001110
111.1RB6421101000
120.7RB584700000
130.0RB740001000
142.2RB5822200000
1513.5RB1895811170
1610.0RB3138044520
173.0RB5531101190