Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Isaiah Davis

NYJ

RB115 · overall #381 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

49

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 116

Range

23–75

sd 26

Week

1.2

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
3.3
Receptions / game
1.0
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
16
Rush TD / game
0.08
Rec TD / game
0.02
Total TD / game
0.10
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.2
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
-0.35
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.06

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

71.2

Per game

4.45

17-gm pace

76

Best / worst

17.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.8RB6221800000
21.6RB650003160
30.0RB760000000
44.7RB4939022180
56.3RB3415043280
61.1RB6322011-10
75.2RB40210042220
817.9RB10765055440
102.1RB5331001110
111.1RB6421101000
120.7RB584700000
130.0RB740001000
142.2RB5822200000
1513.5RB1895811170
1610.0RB3138044520
173.0RB5531101190