Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Isaac TeSlaa

DET

WR143 · overall #324 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

69

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-43

repl 119

Range

30–108

sd 39

Week

4.4

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.5
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
1.5
Rec yards / game
20
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.29
Total TD / game
0.29
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.6
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
59
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.70

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.38
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
+0.06
Flip edge
+0.32
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.22

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

67.9

Per game

4.85

17-gm pace

82

Best / worst

13.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
17.8WR401113100
23.4WR851129000
30.0WR120200000
57.7WR481112100
70.0WR103100000
101.6WR811111000
110.0WR107100000
120.0WR98100000
1310.5WR242235100
149.0WR273220100
150.0WR104100000
1613.2WR187452100
1712.4WR184349100
182.3WR731118000