TE
Hunter Long
ARITE81 · overall #430 · tier – · age 28
Projected points
20
1.8/gm
Value over replacement
-58
repl 112
Range
3–37
sd 17
Week
0.8
@ NYG
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.3
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 0.9
- Rec yards / game
- 8
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.08
- Total TD / game
- 0.08
- Games projected
- 11.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.0
- Games of history
- 20
- Age multiplier
- 0.956
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- -0.14
- OL pass protection
- -0.29
- OL continuity
- 51%
- 2TE rate
- 48%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.40
- Scheme creativity
- +0.44
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 13
- Effective contributors
- 1.58
- Top player's share
- 78%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.29
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NYG,DET,LA
- Window matchup
- +0.00
- Opponents after
- DEN,DAL,SEA
- After matchup
- -0.38
- Flip edge
- +0.38
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.23
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
7
Points
32.5
Per game
4.64
17-gm pace
79
Best / worst
11.3 / 1.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.6 | TE21 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 3 | 3.2 | TE39 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 4 | 11.3 | TE12 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
| 5 | 1.3 | TE53 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.9 | TE36 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| 7 | 3.6 | TE37 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.6 | TE51 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |