Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Hunter Henry

NE

TE21 · overall #159 · tier 6 · age 31

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Projected points

97

6.5/gm

Value over replacement

-6

repl 111

Range

68–127

sd 29

Week

5.5

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
70
Carries
0
Receptions
49
Rec yards
508
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
4.1
Total TD
4.1
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
6
Effective contributors
1.60
Top player's share
76%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.21

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.10
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
-0.00
Flip edge
-0.10
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

118.8

Per game

6.99

17-gm pace

119

Best / worst

21.0 / 0.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.684660
20.93190
321.0118902
49.922391
54.642460
62.733270
73.354330
86.71171
95.164510
100.94190
114.564450
1217.51071151
137.364730
151.831180
169.576351
1710.933491
185.655560