Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Hendon Hooker

TEN

QB65 · overall #613 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

72

6.6/gm

Value over replacement

-98

repl 250

Range

66–77

sd 5

Week

1.6

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
179
Pass yards
1220
Pass TD
8.1
Carries
13
Rush yards
63
Rush TD
0.3
Games projected
10.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.9
Games of history
3
Age multiplier
1.012
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.5
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.29
OL pass protection
-1.25
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.16
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup
-0.90
Opponents after
CLE,CIN
After matchup
-0.51
Flip edge
-0.39
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.31

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Hendon Hooker — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.