Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Germie Bernard

PITROOKIE R2

WR88 · overall #249 · tier 10

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Projected points

70

4.7/gm

Value over replacement

-37

repl 115

Range

50–89

sd 20

Week

4.5

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.0
Rec yards / game
27
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.17
Total TD / game
0.17
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.48
OL pass protection
+0.07
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ATL,NE,CIN
Window matchup
+0.23
Opponents after
CLE,IND,TB
After matchup
+0.18
Flip edge
+0.04
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.03

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Germie Bernard — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.