Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Germie Bernard

PITROOKIE R2

WR138 · overall #317 · tier – · age 22

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Projected points

69

4.7/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 119

Range

50–89

sd 20

Week

4.0

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.1
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.0
Rec yards / game
27
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.17
Total TD / game
0.17
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
+0.09
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.01

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Germie Bernard — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.