QB
Geno Smith
NYJQB28 · overall #215 · tier 6 · age 35
Projected points
212
14.3/gm
Value over replacement
-19
repl 250
Range
169–254
sd 42
Week
14.6
@ CHI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 31.2
- Pass yards / game
- 223
- Pass TD / game
- 1.34
- Carries / game
- 2.9
- Rush yards / game
- 12
- Rush TD / game
- 0.07
- Games projected
- 14.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.6
- Games of history
- 64
- Age multiplier
- 0.943
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.17
- OL pass protection
- -0.10
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.43
- Scheme creativity
- -0.07
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CHI,CLE,NE
- Window matchup
- -0.28
- Opponents after
- MIA,LV,KC
- After matchup
- +0.04
- Flip edge
- -0.32
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.31
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
15
Points
173.9
Per game
11.59
17-gm pace
197
Best / worst
26.3 / 2.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17.5 | QB15 | 24 | 34 | 362 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.2 | QB34 | 24 | 43 | 180 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| 3 | 26.1 | QB4 | 19 | 29 | 289 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | 9.8 | QB29 | 14 | 21 | 117 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.9 | QB27 | 25 | 36 | 228 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 6 | 8.7 | QB26 | 17 | 23 | 174 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.8 | QB30 | 10 | 16 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | 26.3 | QB8 | 29 | 39 | 284 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 | 4.4 | QB27 | 16 | 26 | 143 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 | 12.9 | QB17 | 27 | 42 | 238 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 | 14.2 | QB16 | 30 | 44 | 285 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 | 12.0 | QB22 | 18 | 23 | 165 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 | 9.0 | QB23 | 13 | 21 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | 14.0 | QB19 | 16 | 23 | 201 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 7.1 | QB28 | 20 | 28 | 176 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |