Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Garrett Nussmeier

KCROOKIE R7

QB79 · overall #690 · tier

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Projected points

37

2.5/gm

Value over replacement

-206

repl 261

Range

19–55

sd 18

Week

2.3

vs DEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
61
Pass yards
436
Pass TD
2.5
Carries
0
Rush yards
38
Rush TD
0.0
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.3
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.25
OL pass protection
+0.05
OL continuity
87%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.01
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DEN,IND,MIA
Window matchup
+0.82
Opponents after
LV,LAC
After matchup
-0.18
Flip edge
+1.00
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.22

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Garrett Nussmeier — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.