Gage Larvadain

BAL

WR239 · overall #567 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

1.3/gm

Value over replacement

-83

repl 119

Range

0–36

sd 18

Week

0.5

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.1
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 0.7
Rec yards / game: 8
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.03
Total TD / game: 0.03
Games projected: 13.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.1
Games of history: 13
Age multiplier: 1.044
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.9
Projected plays / game: 60.2
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +0.50
OL pass protection: -0.17
OL continuity: 57%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 34%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.69
Scheme creativity: +0.62
Play action / motion: 23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 93
Effective contributors: 2.62
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: sell high
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup: +0.60
Opponents after: CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup: -0.23
Flip edge: +0.84
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.08

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

10.9

Per game

0.84

17-gm pace

Best / worst

3.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Att	Ru Yds
5	0.0	WR101	0	0	0	0	0
6	3.2	WR70	4	2	22	0	0
7	0.0	WR103	1	0	0	0	0
8	0.3	WR95	0	0	0	1	3
10	0.0	WR94	0	0	0	0	0
11	0.0	WR107	1	0	0	0	0
12	0.0	WR98	0	0	0	0	0
13	3.3	WR71	3	2	23	0	0
14	2.8	WR68	3	2	18	0	0
15	1.3	WR95	2	1	8	0	0
16	0.0	WR119	0	0	0	0	0
17	0.0	WR120	0	0	0	0	0
18	0.0	WR109	0	0	0	0	0