Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Fernando Mendoza

LVROOKIE R1

QB91 · overall #644 · tier – · age 22

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Projected points

47

3.1/gm

Value over replacement

-186

repl 250

Range

29–65

sd 18

Week

1.1

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
98
Pass yards
707
Pass TD
4.4
Carries
4
Rush yards
56
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.08
OL pass protection
-0.32
OL continuity
50%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.59
Scheme creativity
-0.05
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup
-0.48
Opponents after
LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup
+0.04
Flip edge
-0.52
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.17

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Fernando Mendoza — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.