Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Fernando Mendoza

LVROOKIE R1

QB62 · overall #683 · tier

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Projected points

51

3.4/gm

Value over replacement

-193

repl 261

Range

33–69

sd 18

Week

3.3

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
87
Pass yards
618
Pass TD
3.9
Carries
4
Rush yards
57
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.23
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.06
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIA,LAC,NO
Window matchup
-0.45
Opponents after
KC,NE,BUF
After matchup
-0.71
Flip edge
+0.27
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.36

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Fernando Mendoza — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.