Evan Hull

ARI

RB105 · overall #344 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-46

repl 116

Range

15–25

sd 5

Week

0.6

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 0.5
Carries / game: 3.4
Receptions / game: 0.4
Rec yards / game: 3
Rush yards / game: 13
Rush TD / game: 0.06
Rec TD / game: 0.00
Total TD / game: 0.06
Games projected: 9.1
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.1
Games of history: 7
Age multiplier: 1.000
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.3
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 59%
OL run block: -0.14
OL pass protection: -0.29
OL continuity: 51%
2TE rate: 48%
3WR rate: 52%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.40
Scheme creativity: +0.44
Play action / motion: 25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 90
Effective contributors: 4.46
Top player's share: 32%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup: +0.25
Opponents after: DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup: -0.36
Flip edge: +0.62
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

5.4

Per game

0.90

17-gm pace

Best / worst

1.5 / 0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
13	1.5	RB64	5	15	0	0	0
14	1.0	RB57	1	4	1	1	6
15	1.2	RB65	4	12	0	0	0
16	0.3	RB75	5	3	0	0	0
17	0.3	RB72	2	3	0	0	0
18	1.1	RB67	2	11	0	0	0