Evan Engram

DEN

TE27 · overall #181 · tier 6 · age 32

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Projected points

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 112

Range

53–124

sd 36

Week

5.0

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 5.2
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 3.8
Rec yards / game: 36
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.16
Total TD / game: 0.16
Games projected: 13.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 9.1
Games of history: 59
Age multiplier: 0.865
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.2
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +1.17
OL pass protection: +1.48
OL continuity: 98%
2TE rate: 23%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.37
Scheme creativity: +0.15
Play action / motion: 25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 32
Effective contributors: 2.02
Top player's share: 67%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup: -0.26
Opponents after: ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup: +0.51
Flip edge: -0.77
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.31

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

52.8

Per game

3.30

17-gm pace

Best / worst

9.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	2.1	TE31	4	3	21	0
2	1.2	TE40	2	1	12	0
4	2.9	TE28	7	4	29	0
5	9.3	TE12	6	4	33	1
6	4.9	TE22	6	5	42	0
7	4.2	TE22	8	5	42	0
8	3.6	TE21	4	4	36	0
9	0.0	TE54	3	0	0	0
10	1.2	TE41	5	2	12	0
11	3.3	TE21	5	4	33	0
13	7.9	TE10	9	6	79	0
14	0.8	TE46	2	2	8	0
15	1.2	TE46	3	1	12	0
16	3.6	TE20	4	2	36	0
17	2.1	TE32	4	4	21	0
18	4.5	TE20	4	3	45	0