Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Eric Saubert

SEA

TE106 · overall #503 · tier – · age 32

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Projected points

22

1.6/gm

Value over replacement

-70

repl 112

Range

8–35

sd 14

Week

2.0

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.3
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
0.9
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
13.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.7
Games of history
38
Age multiplier
0.865
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.01
OL pass protection
+0.28
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
16
Effective contributors
1.94
Top player's share
67%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.32

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup
+0.07
Opponents after
KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup
+0.41
Flip edge
-0.34
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.66

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

9

Points

9.1

Per game

1.01

17-gm pace

17

Best / worst

3.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.0TE610000
20.0TE570000
32.2TE4311120
40.0TE560000
60.0TE600000
151.9TE521190
162.0TE490000
170.0TE602000
183.0TE4132100