Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Emari Demercado

DAL

RB82 · overall #290 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

30

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-38

repl 116

Range

0–64

sd 34

Week

0.8

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
13
Carries
26
Receptions
10
Rec yards
66
Rush yards
140
Rush TD
0.5
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
36
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
36
Effective contributors
2.15
Top player's share
66%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.38
Flip edge
-0.47
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.44

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

45.3

Per game

3.78

17-gm pace

64

Best / worst

10.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.0RB810000000
30.0RB762001000
48.1RB3128022131
56.1RB2938100000
60.1RB651101000
97.8RB251479011-10
1010.4RB18464043400
112.0RB5358032120
150.1RB771103200
163.0RB5653001000
172.0RB5551103290
185.7RB30229011280