Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Emanuel Wilson

SEA

RB61 · overall #207 · tier 9 · age 27

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Projected points

84

6.1/gm

Value over replacement

-16

repl 116

Range

44–124

sd 40

Week

4.5

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.5
Carries / game
7.6
Receptions / game
1.2
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
32
Rush TD / game
0.20
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.23
Games projected
13.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
39
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.01
OL pass protection
+0.28
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
39
Effective contributors
2.27
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.43

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.04
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.20

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

94.5

Per game

5.56

17-gm pace

95

Best / worst

26.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.4RB751400000
20.0RB750000000
32.5RB6062500000
411.1RB30844033370
61.7RB59311011-40
72.5RB52617011-20
811.7RB211161043260
92.7RB4761602110
101.4RB581201120
1113.9RB19114011190
1226.5RB328107222180
131.4RB6841400000
141.0RB6531000000
150.3RB772300000
168.2RB40148200000
173.4RB5231601180
185.8RB45184401140