Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Elijah Sarratt

BALROOKIE R4

WR207 · overall #472 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

15

1.4/gm

Value over replacement

-65

repl 119

Range

0–35

sd 20

Week

0.4

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.9
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.05
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.9
Projected plays / game
60.2
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+0.50
OL pass protection
-0.17
OL continuity
57%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
34%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.69
Scheme creativity
+0.62
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
93
Effective contributors
2.62
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
+0.60
Opponents after
CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
+0.84
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.08

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Elijah Sarratt — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.