Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Elijah Moore

PHI

WR129 · overall #298 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

63

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-39

repl 119

Range

20–107

sd 43

Week

2.3

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.9
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
2.3
Rec yards / game
27
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.08
Total TD / game
0.10
Games projected
13.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.8
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
63
Effective contributors
2.93
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.79

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.11
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.99
Flip edge
-0.88
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

9

Points

19.6

Per game

2.18

17-gm pace

37

Best / worst

9.7 / -0.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.1WR93113018
29.7WR301131026
34.1WR5132300111
40.0WR110000010
60.0WR99200000
81.4WR744114000
92.8WR611128000
100.8WR8322901-1
12-0.3WR12931-3000