Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Elijah Higgins

ARI

TE74 · overall #405 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

46

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-55

repl 112

Range

28–65

sd 19

Week

2.6

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
34
Carries
1
Receptions
26
Rec yards
257
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.2
Total TD
1.2
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.4
Games of history
43
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
13
Effective contributors
1.58
Top player's share
78%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.00
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.38
Flip edge
+0.38
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.23

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

43.1

Per game

2.54

17-gm pace

43

Best / worst

12.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.8TE552130
25.5TE2132450
31.2TE471170
40.0TE560000
52.0TE4122100
64.4TE2922340
70.8TE501130
94.5TE3233300
102.9TE3032190
110.1TE5632110
120.0TE590000
132.7TE3822170
140.5TE571100
150.8TE572130
1612.6TE887910
170.0TE601000
184.3TE3033280