TE
Elijah Higgins
ARITE74 · overall #405 · tier – · age 25
Projected points
46
3.2/gm
Value over replacement
-55
repl 112
Range
28–65
sd 19
Week
2.6
@ NYG
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 34
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 26
- Rec yards
- 257
- Rush yards
- 2
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.2
- Total TD
- 1.2
- Games projected
- 14.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.4
- Games of history
- 43
- Age multiplier
- 1.050
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- -0.14
- OL pass protection
- -0.29
- OL continuity
- 51%
- 2TE rate
- 48%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.40
- Scheme creativity
- +0.44
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 13
- Effective contributors
- 1.58
- Top player's share
- 78%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.29
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NYG,DET,LA
- Window matchup
- +0.00
- Opponents after
- DEN,DAL,SEA
- After matchup
- -0.38
- Flip edge
- +0.38
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.23
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
28.1
Per game
1.65
17-gm pace
28
Best / worst
9.1 / -0.9
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3 | TE55 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | 4.5 | TE16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.7 | TE46 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | TE54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1.0 | TE45 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.4 | TE26 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.3 | TE50 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.0 | TE29 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.9 | TE34 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 | -0.9 | TE70 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | TE58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 1.7 | TE38 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | TE57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.3 | TE56 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | 9.1 | TE14 | 8 | 7 | 91 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.0 | TE59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.8 | TE32 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 |