Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Eli Stowers

PHIROOKIE R2

TE45 · overall #364 · tier

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Projected points

51

3.4/gm

Value over replacement

-53

repl 111

Range

33–69

sd 18

Week

3.6

vs WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.3
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
1.7
Rec yards / game
18
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.13
Total TD / game
0.13
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.42
OL pass protection
+1.23
OL continuity
93%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.89
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
10
Effective contributors
1.55
Top player's share
79%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
WAS,TEN,CHI
Window matchup
+0.64
Opponents after
LA,JAX,CAR
After matchup
+0.01
Flip edge
+0.63
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.03

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Eli Stowers — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.