RB
Dylan Sampson
CLERB53 · overall #185 · tier 8 · age 21
Projected points
78
5.5/gm
Value over replacement
-18
repl 110
Range
36–121
sd 43
Week
4.1
@ JAX
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 31
- Carries
- 99
- Receptions
- 24
- Rec yards
- 168
- Rush yards
- 348
- Rush TD
- 1.5
- Rec TD
- 0.9
- Total TD
- 2.4
- Games projected
- 14.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 5.7
- Games of history
- 15
- Age multiplier
- 1.067
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.4
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.24
- OL pass protection
- -1.83
- OL continuity
- 28%
- 2TE rate
- 37%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +1.14
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 44%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 85
- Effective contributors
- 2.13
- Top player's share
- 65%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.91
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- JAX,TB,CAR
- Window matchup
- -0.89
- Opponents after
- PIT,NYJ,BAL
- After matchup
- -0.52
- Flip edge
- -0.37
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.17
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
15
Points
71.1
Per game
4.74
17-gm pace
81
Best / worst
15.2 / -0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.3 | 12 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | -0.2 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 8 | 5.4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.4 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.9 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 15.2 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 59 | 1 |
| 13 | 2.3 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 7.3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 0 |
| 17 | 4.2 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.4 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |