Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Dylan Sampson

CLE

RB56 · overall #184 · tier – · age 22

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Projected points

6

3.0/gm

Value over replacement

-9

repl 116

Range

0–33

sd 26

Week

0.0

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
3.2
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.05
Rec TD / game
0.04
Total TD / game
0.09
Games projected
2.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.7
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
85
Effective contributors
2.13
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.71
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.92
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

71.1

Per game

4.74

17-gm pace

81

Best / worst

15.2 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
113.3RB161229088640
29.4RB2746033131
30.2RB731200000
4-0.2RB891-201000
50.7RB661-402160
63.4RB50312022120
72.2RB503801190
85.4RB3630065290
100.4RB612-401130
111.9RB5811901000
1215.2RB10723032591
132.3RB6142300000
147.3RB3624065640
174.2RB43112703300
185.4RB371032032120