TE
Durham Smythe
BALTE121 · overall #535 · tier – · age 31
Projected points
31
2.0/gm
Value over replacement
-76
repl 112
Range
1–61
sd 30
Week
1.1
vs TEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.6
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.2
- Rec yards / game
- 11
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Rec TD / game
- 0.03
- Total TD / game
- 0.05
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.2
- Games of history
- 47
- Age multiplier
- 0.888
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.2
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.50
- OL pass protection
- -0.17
- OL continuity
- 57%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.69
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 91
- Effective contributors
- 2.35
- Top player's share
- 57%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.01
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- -0.06
- Opponents after
- CIN,BUF,JAX
- After matchup
- +0.33
- Flip edge
- -0.39
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.11
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
7
Points
4.5
Per game
0.64
17-gm pace
11
Best / worst
1.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.0 | TE54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.3 | TE45 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.9 | TE52 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.7 | TE55 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | TE59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.6 | TE46 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.0 | TE63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |