TE
Drew Sample
CINTE90 · overall #461 · tier – · age 30
Projected points
34
2.4/gm
Value over replacement
-64
repl 112
Range
11–57
sd 23
Week
1.8
vs JAX
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.9
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.4
- Rec yards / game
- 11
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.09
- Total TD / game
- 0.09
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.0
- Games of history
- 39
- Age multiplier
- 0.911
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 60%
- OL run block
- -0.73
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 40%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.75
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.76
- Top player's share
- 33%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- JAX,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.74
- Opponents after
- BAL,TEN,ATL
- After matchup
- -0.72
- Flip edge
- +1.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.62
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
12
Points
31.9
Per game
2.66
17-gm pace
45
Best / worst
10.0 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | TE61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.7 | TE47 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 3 | 10.0 | TE12 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | TE56 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.8 | TE58 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.0 | TE54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.0 | TE57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.7 | TE43 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 | 3.2 | TE43 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | 5.1 | TE31 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.8 | TE48 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.7 | TE35 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |