Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Dontayvion Wicks

PHI

WR80 · overall #203 · tier 10 · age 25

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Projected points

78

5.4/gm

Value over replacement

-26

repl 115

Range

25–131

sd 53

Week

5.5

vs WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
2.3
Rec yards / game
30
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.23
Total TD / game
0.23
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.3
Games of history
45
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.42
OL pass protection
+1.23
OL continuity
93%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.89
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
63
Effective contributors
2.93
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.79

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
WAS,TEN,CHI
Window matchup
+0.74
Opponents after
LA,JAX,CAR
After matchup
+0.14
Flip edge
+0.60
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

45.8

Per game

3.52

17-gm pace

60

Best / worst

22.0 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
13.02230000
24.46444000
32.14221000
41.94219000
61.52215000
70.5215000
103.88438000
110.9219000
123.24232000
1322.07694216
150.6216000
161.22212000
170.7117000