Devontez Walker

BAL

WR120 · overall #282 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 119

Range

2–91

sd 44

Week

3.3

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.9
Carries / game: 0.2
Receptions / game: 1.2
Rec yards / game: 17
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.26
Total TD / game: 0.26
Games projected: 11.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.7
Games of history: 11
Age multiplier: 1.026
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.9
Projected plays / game: 60.2
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +0.50
OL pass protection: -0.17
OL continuity: 57%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 34%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.69
Scheme creativity: +0.62
Play action / motion: 23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 93
Effective contributors: 2.62
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: sell high
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup: +0.60
Opponents after: CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup: -0.23
Flip edge: +0.84
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.08

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

34.6

Per game

4.33

17-gm pace

Best / worst

15.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	15.6	WR13	2	2	26	2
3	3.9	WR67	1	1	34	0
4	0.0	WR113	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	WR101	0	0	0	0
12	3.5	WR59	1	1	30	0
13	0.0	WR108	2	0	0	0
16	0.0	WR119	0	0	0	0
18	11.6	WR15	2	2	46	1