Devin Duvernay

ARI

WR254 · overall #592 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

0.9/gm

Value over replacement

-91

repl 119

Range

0–56

sd 44

Week

0.2

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 0.6
Carries / game: 0.2
Receptions / game: 0.4
Rec yards / game: 4
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.01
Rec TD / game: 0.02
Total TD / game: 0.03
Games projected: 13.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.1
Games of history: 57
Age multiplier: 0.876
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.3
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 59%
OL run block: -0.14
OL pass protection: -0.29
OL continuity: 51%
2TE rate: 48%
3WR rate: 52%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.40
Scheme creativity: +0.44
Play action / motion: 25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 88
Effective contributors: 3.31
Top player's share: 46%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup: +0.14
Opponents after: DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup: -0.27
Flip edge: +0.42
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

2.6

Per game

0.15

17-gm pace

Best / worst

2.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	0.0	WR115	0	0	0
2	0.0	WR119	0	0	0
3	0.0	WR120	0	0	0
4	0.0	WR110	0	0	0
6	0.0	WR99	0	0	0
7	0.0	WR101	0	0	0
8	0.2	WR91	3	1	2
9	0.0	WR96	0	0	0
10	0.0	WR93	0	0	0
11	0.0	WR104	0	0	0
12	0.0	WR97	0	0	0
13	0.0	WR108	0	0	0
14	2.4	WR59	1	1	24
15	0.0	WR104	0	0	0
16	0.0	WR118	0	0	0
17	0.0	WR120	1	0	0
18	0.0	WR108	0	0	0