Deven Thompkins

WR213 · overall #490 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

1.0/gm

Value over replacement

-68

repl 119

Range

0–41

sd 30

Week

0.3

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 0.8
Carries / game: 0.3
Receptions / game: 0.5
Rec yards / game: 5
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.03
Total TD / game: 0.03
Games projected: 10.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.4
Games of history: 34
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 60.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.08
OL pass protection: -0.32
OL continuity: 50%
2TE rate: 42%
3WR rate: 58%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: +0.59
Scheme creativity: -0.05
Play action / motion: 22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 98
Effective contributors: 4.24
Top player's share: 38%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup: -0.36
Opponents after: LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup: +0.01
Flip edge: -0.38
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.07

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

3.2

Per game

0.46

17-gm pace

Best / worst

2.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Att	Ru Yds
6	0.0	WR99	0	0	0	0	0
13	2.8	WR58	2	2	23	1	5
14	0.4	WR94	1	1	4	0	0
15	0.0	WR104	0	0	0	0	0
16	0.0	WR118	0	0	0	0	0
17	0.0	WR120	0	0	0	0	0
18	0.0	WR108	0	0	0	0	0