Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Devaughn Vele

NO

WR90 · overall #210 · tier 10 · age 28

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Projected points

69

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-27

repl 115

Range

27–110

sd 42

Week

4.2

@ DET

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.7
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
2.3
Rec yards / game
29
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.19
Total TD / game
0.19
Games projected
13.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.7
Games of history
22
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.09
OL pass protection
+0.23
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.31
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.72
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DET,BAL,LV
Window matchup
-0.20
Opponents after
ATL,MIN,NYG
After matchup
-0.01
Flip edge
-0.19
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.58

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

53.8

Per game

5.98

17-gm pace

102

Best / worst

19.3 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.82113000
26.8113100
52.32213000
81.55110000
102.03115000
125.27337000
1319.38893100
145.55340000
159.46569000