WR
Deebo Samuel Sr.
SFWR19 · overall #49 · tier 5 · age 30
Projected points
160
11.3/gm
Value over replacement
55
repl 119
Range
92–228
sd 68
Week
11.2
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 7.0
- Carries / game
- 1.4
- Receptions / game
- 4.5
- Rec yards / game
- 55
- Rush yards / game
- 7
- Rush TD / game
- 0.08
- Rec TD / game
- 0.29
- Total TD / game
- 0.36
- Games projected
- 14.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.5
- Games of history
- 59
- Age multiplier
- 0.845
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.01
- OL pass protection
- -0.56
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.64
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.15
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- Window matchup
- -0.41
- Opponents after
- ATL,LV
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- -0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -1.15
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
116.2
Per game
7.26
17-gm pace
123
Best / worst
15.6 / 1.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.6 | WR5 | 10 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| 2 | 10.4 | WR27 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.9 | WR65 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | 14.1 | WR12 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | 15.6 | WR6 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.4 | WR81 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| 8 | 1.2 | WR78 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | 4.4 | WR50 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | 8.9 | WR28 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.7 | WR9 | 8 | 7 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | 6.1 | WR39 | 7 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
| 14 | 2.7 | WR57 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.3 | WR52 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.5 | WR62 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 9.3 | WR24 | 4 | 2 | 68 | 0 | 2 | 25 |
| 18 | 2.1 | WR67 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 |