WR
Deebo Samuel Sr.
SFWR45 · overall #107 · tier 8 · age 30
Projected points
119
8.4/gm
Value over replacement
17
repl 115
Range
51–187
sd 68
Week
7.6
@ LA
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 5.3
- Carries / game
- 1.4
- Receptions / game
- 3.4
- Rec yards / game
- 41
- Rush yards / game
- 7
- Rush TD / game
- 0.08
- Rec TD / game
- 0.29
- Total TD / game
- 0.36
- Games projected
- 14.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.5
- Games of history
- 59
- Age multiplier
- 0.845
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.4
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.00
- OL pass protection
- -0.53
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.62
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.15
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LA,MIA,ARI
- Window matchup
- +1.33
- Opponents after
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- After matchup
- -0.47
- Flip edge
- +1.80
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -1.27
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
116.2
Per game
7.26
17-gm pace
123
Best / worst
15.6 / 1.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.6 | 10 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | 14.1 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | 15.6 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| 8 | 1.2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | 4.4 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | 8.9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.7 | 8 | 7 | 74 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | 6.1 | 7 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
| 14 | 2.7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.3 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.5 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 9.3 | 4 | 2 | 68 | 0 | 2 | 25 |
| 18 | 2.1 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 |