WR
DeVonta Smith
PHIWR19 · overall #60 · tier 6 · age 27
Projected points
151
10.5/gm
Value over replacement
48
repl 115
Range
96–206
sd 55
Week
10.6
vs WAS
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 98
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 66
- Rec yards
- 873
- Rush yards
- 1
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 5.7
- Total TD
- 5.7
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.2
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +1.42
- OL pass protection
- +1.23
- OL continuity
- 93%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.89
- Scheme creativity
- +0.20
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 46%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 63
- Effective contributors
- 2.93
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.79
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- WAS,TEN,CHI
- Window matchup
- +0.74
- Opponents after
- LA,JAX,CAR
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- +0.60
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.27
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
124.8
Per game
7.34
17-gm pace
125
Best / worst
24.3 / 0.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.0 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 11.4 | 10 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.9 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 24.3 | 11 | 9 | 183 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 8.4 | 9 | 6 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 12.9 | 7 | 4 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 8.9 | 11 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.8 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.7 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 5.0 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 10.2 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.5 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |