WR
DeMario Douglas
NEWR77 · overall #201 · tier 10 · age 25
Projected points
82
5.5/gm
Value over replacement
-25
repl 115
Range
44–120
sd 38
Week
4.6
@ SEA
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.1
- Carries / game
- 0.5
- Receptions / game
- 2.6
- Rec yards / game
- 31
- Rush yards / game
- 2
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.16
- Total TD / game
- 0.16
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.2
- Games of history
- 46
- Age multiplier
- 1.026
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 59.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.47
- OL pass protection
- -0.48
- OL continuity
- 73%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 57%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.10
- Scheme creativity
- -0.59
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 48%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.15
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- SEA,PIT,JAX
- Window matchup
- -0.34
- Opponents after
- BUF,LV,NYJ
- After matchup
- +0.22
- Flip edge
- -0.56
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.58
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
64.8
Per game
4.05
17-gm pace
69
Best / worst
16.0 / 0.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.2 | 7 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 13.1 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 4.7 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 16.0 | 6 | 4 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 3.4 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | 3.1 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 1 | -5 |
| 12 | 5.1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | 3.3 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 | 0.6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.9 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |