TE
Dawson Knox
BUFTE67 · overall #379 · tier – · age 29
Projected points
49
3.4/gm
Value over replacement
-52
repl 112
Range
17–80
sd 32
Week
3.5
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 32
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 23
- Rec yards
- 256
- Rush yards
- 1
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 2.2
- Total TD
- 2.2
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.0
- Games of history
- 55
- Age multiplier
- 0.933
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.32
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.97
- Scheme creativity
- +0.23
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 53
- Effective contributors
- 2.83
- Top player's share
- 40%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.62
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NE,LA,LV
- Window matchup
- +0.28
- Opponents after
- BAL,MIN
- After matchup
- -0.68
- Flip edge
- +0.96
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.48
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
67.7
Per game
4.23
17-gm pace
72
Best / worst
15.7 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.0 | TE32 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.9 | TE37 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | TE54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1.5 | TE39 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 6 | 7.9 | TE12 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| 8 | 1.5 | TE36 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.0 | TE29 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 | 3.7 | TE21 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.3 | TE29 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.7 | TE35 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.8 | TE26 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 | 11.3 | TE4 | 7 | 6 | 93 | 0 |
| 15 | 15.7 | TE6 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 2 |
| 16 | 1.0 | TE48 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 | 3.0 | TE26 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 | 8.4 | TE8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 |