TE
Darren Waller
CARTE37 · overall #236 · tier – · age 34
Projected points
54
4.6/gm
Value over replacement
-27
repl 112
Range
4–104
sd 50
Week
7.1
vs DET
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 37
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 26
- Rec yards
- 268
- Rush yards
- 2
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 2.1
- Total TD
- 2.1
- Games projected
- 11.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.1
- Games of history
- 29
- Age multiplier
- 0.820
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.33
- OL pass protection
- +0.21
- OL continuity
- 71%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.68
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 59
- Effective contributors
- 3.10
- Top player's share
- 37%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.71
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DET,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.38
- Opponents after
- TB,GB,DEN
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- -0.37
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.01
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
9
Points
64.7
Per game
7.19
17-gm pace
122
Best / worst
18.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14.7 | TE2 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 2 |
| 5 | 13.8 | TE5 | 5 | 5 | 78 | 1 |
| 6 | 7.2 | TE14 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| 7 | 0.0 | TE53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.7 | TE17 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.7 | TE31 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 | 18.6 | TE5 | 8 | 7 | 66 | 2 |
| 16 | 4.0 | TE17 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.0 | TE59 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |