Darren Waller

CAR

TE37 · overall #236 · tier – · age 34

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Projected points

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-27

repl 112

Range

4–104

sd 50

Week

7.1

vs DET

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.2
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 2.2
Rec yards / game: 23
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.18
Total TD / game: 0.18
Games projected: 11.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 10.1
Games of history: 29
Age multiplier: 0.820
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.7
Projected plays / game: 60.0
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: +0.33
OL pass protection: +0.21
OL continuity: 71%
2TE rate: 25%
3WR rate: 73%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.68
Scheme creativity: -0.67
Play action / motion: 21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 59
Effective contributors: 3.10
Top player's share: 37%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.71

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: DET,PHI
Window matchup: -0.38
Opponents after: TB,GB,DEN
After matchup: -0.01
Flip edge: -0.37
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 5
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.01

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

64.7

Per game

7.19

17-gm pace

122

Best / worst

18.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
4	14.7	TE2	4	3	27	2
5	13.8	TE5	5	5	78	1
6	7.2	TE14	3	2	12	1
7	0.0	TE53	0	0	0	0
13	4.7	TE17	3	2	47	0
14	1.7	TE31	3	1	13	0
15	18.6	TE5	8	7	66	2
16	4.0	TE17	5	3	40	0
17	0.0	TE59	3	1	0	0