Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Danny Gray

PHI

WR232 · overall #544 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

20

1.5/gm

Value over replacement

-78

repl 119

Range

13–27

sd 7

Week

0.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.04
Total TD / game
0.04
Games projected
13.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.4
Games of history
7
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
63
Effective contributors
2.93
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.79

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.11
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.99
Flip edge
-0.88
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Danny Gray — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.