TE
Daniel Bellinger
TENTE76 · overall #418 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
46
3.1/gm
Value over replacement
-57
repl 112
Range
6–86
sd 40
Week
1.6
@ BAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.0
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.5
- Rec yards / game
- 15
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.05
- Rec TD / game
- 0.08
- Total TD / game
- 0.13
- Games projected
- 14.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.1
- Games of history
- 50
- Age multiplier
- 1.030
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.29
- OL pass protection
- -1.25
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.16
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 84
- Effective contributors
- 2.11
- Top player's share
- 56%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.90
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BAL,HOU,IND
- Window matchup
- -0.89
- Opponents after
- CLE,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.24
- Flip edge
- -0.65
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.27
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
40.6
Per game
3.12
17-gm pace
53
Best / worst
14.8 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.4 | TE42 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.0 | TE57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.6 | TE49 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | TE41 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.2 | TE20 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 0 |
| 7 | 14.8 | TE5 | 4 | 3 | 88 | 1 |
| 8 | 2.1 | TE31 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.8 | TE44 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.0 | TE54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | TE58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 3.5 | TE22 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.1 | TE43 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | 9.8 | TE6 | 2 | 2 | 38 | 1 |