Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Dalton Schultz

HOU

TE18 · overall #148 · tier 5 · age 30

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Projected points

102

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 111

Range

75–129

sd 27

Week

6.0

vs BUF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
82
Carries
0
Receptions
58
Rec yards
539
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.3
Total TD
3.3
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.3
Games of history
64
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.17
OL continuity
70%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
3
Effective contributors
1.47
Top player's share
82%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.16

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BUF,CIN,IND
Window matchup
+0.61
Opponents after
DAL,TEN,JAX
After matchup
+0.11
Flip edge
+0.50
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.64

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

177.7

Per game

10.45

17-gm pace

178

Best / worst

21.6 / 1.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
15.853280
25.943290
38.965390
48.065300
511.065600
718.8109980
84.432240
913.786770
1018.3117531
1111.196510
121.84180
1312.587550
145.243220
1521.698761
1614.555351
174.943190
1811.344730