Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Dallas Goedert

PHI

TE15 · overall #126 · tier 4 · age 31

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Projected points

70

7.5/gm

Value over replacement

5

repl 112

Range

37–103

sd 33

Week

3.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.9
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.6
Rec yards / game
39
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.36
Total TD / game
0.36
Games projected
9.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.3
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
10
Effective contributors
1.55
Top player's share
79%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
-0.00
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.91
Flip edge
-0.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.10

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

185.1

Per game

12.34

17-gm pace

210

Best / worst

26.0 / 4.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
111.4TE1477440
310.3TE1021331
419.7TE144372
510.9TE1793191
626.0TE11191101
74.8TE3133180
817.8TE533282
108.3TE1864430
114.4TE3252240
124.0TE3422200
134.7TE3142270
1415.8TE5108780
1525.0TE476702
1612.2TE1533321
179.8TE156381