WR
DK Metcalf
PITWR34 · overall #81 · tier 7 · age 28
Projected points
138
9.6/gm
Value over replacement
35
repl 115
Range
72–204
sd 66
Week
8.9
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 95
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 57
- Rec yards
- 783
- Rush yards
- 2
- Rush TD
- 0.1
- Rec TD
- 5.1
- Total TD
- 5.2
- Games projected
- 14.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.7
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 0.908
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.5
- Projected plays / game
- 61.4
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.48
- OL pass protection
- +0.07
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.86
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 3.82
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- ATL,NE,CIN
- Window matchup
- +0.23
- Opponents after
- CLE,IND,TB
- After matchup
- +0.18
- Flip edge
- +0.04
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.03
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
15
Points
187.2
Per game
12.48
17-gm pace
212
Best / worst
23.6 / 2.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12.3 | 7 | 4 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.2 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 23.6 | 5 | 5 | 126 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 19.5 | 9 | 4 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 8.0 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 16.5 | 7 | 5 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 6.5 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.9 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 14.4 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 13 | 6.2 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 21.8 | 12 | 7 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 14.5 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 8.2 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |