WR
DJ Moore
BUFWR30 · overall #76 · tier 6 · age 29
Projected points
145
9.4/gm
Value over replacement
30
repl 119
Range
64–226
sd 81
Week
10.7
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 6.1
- Carries / game
- 0.6
- Receptions / game
- 3.8
- Rec yards / game
- 50
- Rush yards / game
- 3
- Rush TD / game
- 0.02
- Rec TD / game
- 0.35
- Total TD / game
- 0.37
- Games projected
- 15.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.4
- Games of history
- 68
- Age multiplier
- 0.876
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.32
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.97
- Scheme creativity
- +0.23
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.79
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NE,LA,LV
- Window matchup
- +0.72
- Opponents after
- BAL,MIN
- After matchup
- -0.41
- Flip edge
- +1.13
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.44
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
122.2
Per game
7.19
17-gm pace
122
Best / worst
19.0 / -0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.6 | WR28 | 5 | 3 | 68 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | 4.6 | WR65 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 8.8 | WR29 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 3.8 | WR54 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 5.2 | WR36 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | 5.2 | WR41 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | 7.6 | WR29 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 19.0 | WR3 | 6 | 4 | 72 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | 0.0 | WR93 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.1 | WR65 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | 18.4 | WR5 | 7 | 5 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.7 | WR60 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | -0.4 | WR130 | 3 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 18.9 | WR4 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 16.9 | WR6 | 7 | 5 | 97 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| 17 | 0.7 | WR101 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.1 | WR80 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |