Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Craig Reynolds

WAS

RB108 · overall #351 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

32

3.0/gm

Value over replacement

-47

repl 116

Range

11–54

sd 21

Week

0.8

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.9
Carries / game
3.8
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
7
Rush yards / game
16
Rush TD / game
0.06
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
10.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.7
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
49
Effective contributors
2.63
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
+0.13
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.49
Flip edge
+0.62
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.42

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

5

Points

0.4

Per game

0.08

17-gm pace

1

Best / worst

0.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.0RB810000000
20.4RB723400000
40.0RB740000000
50.0RB710000000
60.0RB690000000