Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Corey Kiner

NE

RB117 · overall #388 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

22

2.1/gm

Value over replacement

-53

repl 116

Range

9–34

sd 12

Week

1.4

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.8
Carries / game
2.6
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
4
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.05
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.06
Games projected
10.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.3
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.14
Flip edge
+0.55
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

8.3

Per game

2.08

17-gm pace

35

Best / worst

3.8 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
151.1RB6821100000
163.2RB5663200000
170.2RB771200000
183.8RB49313032150