Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Cole Kmet

CHI

TE35 · overall #224 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

83

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-23

repl 112

Range

44–122

sd 39

Week

4.4

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
54
Carries
2
Receptions
40
Rec yards
421
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.4
Total TD
3.4
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.3
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
33
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.07
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.37
Flip edge
-0.30
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

48.7

Per game

3.04

17-gm pace

52

Best / worst

9.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.1TE2441310
22.9TE2922290
37.0TE1211101
44.6TE1893460
60.0TE562100
71.6TE3611160
91.0TE4621100
100.5TE482150
114.5TE1455450
120.3TE541130
139.6TE633361
144.2TE1832420
152.8TE2742280
161.4TE4432140
171.6TE3732160
183.6TE2232160