Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Colbie Young

CINROOKIE R4

WR169 · overall #392 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

26

2.5/gm

Value over replacement

-53

repl 119

Range

6–46

sd 20

Week

1.6

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
18
Carries
0
Receptions
11
Rec yards
152
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.9
Total TD
0.9
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.82
Top player's share
50%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.62

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.58
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
+0.67
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Colbie Young — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.