WR
Christian Kirk
SFWR70 · overall #166 · tier – · age 29
Projected points
9
4.7/gm
Value over replacement
-5
repl 119
Range
0–49
sd 40
Week
0.0
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.6
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 2.2
- Rec yards / game
- 28
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.17
- Total TD / game
- 0.17
- Games projected
- 1.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 8.1
- Games of history
- 48
- Age multiplier
- 0.876
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.5
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.01
- OL pass protection
- -0.56
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 17%
- 3WR rate
- 45%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.64
- Scheme creativity
- +0.36
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.15
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DEN,SEA,WAS
- Window matchup
- -0.41
- Opponents after
- ATL,LV
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- -0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -1.15
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
11
Points
57.9
Per game
5.26
17-gm pace
89
Best / worst
16.4 / 0.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5.5 | WR63 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 5.0 | WR67 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 10.4 | WR42 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.6 | WR54 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.3 | WR88 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.6 | WR96 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 16.4 | WR16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.6 | WR87 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 6.7 | WR60 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.1 | WR95 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.7 | WR105 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |