WR
Chris Olave
NOWR21 · overall #53 · tier 5 · age 26
Projected points
152
11.3/gm
Value over replacement
52
repl 119
Range
106–198
sd 46
Week
16.5
vs ATL
The take
written by hand
9.4 targets a game, and he picks up a little more with Tyson down to nine. His own 13.4 games is what keeps him at WR12 rather than higher.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 8.3
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 5.2
- Rec yards / game
- 65
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.42
- Total TD / game
- 0.42
- Games projected
- 13.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 15.0
- Games of history
- 55
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.21
- OL pass protection
- +0.11
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.72
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- Window matchup
- +0.02
- Opponents after
- PIT,CLE
- After matchup
- +0.48
- Flip edge
- -0.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.25
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
168.0
Per game
10.50
17-gm pace
179
Best / worst
26.8 / 3.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.4 | WR44 | 13 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.4 | WR54 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.7 | WR40 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 6.0 | WR39 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 5.9 | WR42 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 9.8 | WR22 | 10 | 6 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 21.8 | WR4 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 6.0 | WR40 | 12 | 8 | 63 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
| 9 | 5.7 | WR43 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 16.4 | WR6 | 8 | 5 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 7.0 | WR30 | 13 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 10.7 | WR19 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.0 | WR53 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 14.5 | WR10 | 9 | 6 | 85 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 26.8 | WR2 | 16 | 10 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 17.9 | WR3 | 11 | 8 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 0 |