WR
Chris Moore
BALWR216 · overall #496 · tier – · age 33
Projected points
38
2.6/gm
Value over replacement
-69
repl 119
Range
0–86
sd 48
Week
4.1
vs TEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 26
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 16
- Rec yards
- 223
- Rush yards
- 20
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.8
- Total TD
- 0.8
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.5
- Games of history
- 40
- Age multiplier
- 0.750
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.2
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.50
- OL pass protection
- -0.17
- OL continuity
- 57%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.69
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 93
- Effective contributors
- 2.62
- Top player's share
- 56%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.14
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- +0.60
- Opponents after
- CIN,BUF,JAX
- After matchup
- -0.23
- Flip edge
- +0.84
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.08
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
10
Points
27.6
Per game
2.76
17-gm pace
47
Best / worst
10.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.4 | WR58 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.5 | WR72 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.9 | WR100 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | 0.0 | WR100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 10.6 | WR16 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 5.9 | WR37 | 5 | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | WR93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.8 | WR59 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | WR118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.5 | WR85 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |